Anyone else being made nervous by optimistic reports like this, this and this?
New Zealand has been storming through the World Cup so far. We've won all four games, each within 41 overs, and we should expect to win the next two (against Bangladesh and Ireland) also. This puts us in a strong position to make the semis. However, it must be realised that one of the major aspects of this fantastic success (the other aspects being the incredible form the players are in, the huge confidence they have and the amazing professionalism that they've been taking to the game) is the fact that in these first six games, we will not have played any of the top six teams. This will inevitably make our record look good.
I still think we'll make the semis though. Getting there will probably require picking up at least one of the last three games, which is a prediction we can be fairly confident about. It's the predictions of us making the final that make me nervous as that is a straight prediction that we'll win the semi (and that we'll make it to the semis). The memory of 1992 is too fresh for me to be comfortable with that level of optimism.
Monday, 2 April 2007
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Have to admit I also find this 'favourites for the finals' bit strangely uncomfortable. Not really used to it! Of the three 'big' super eight games, the South Africa one definitely represents our best chance for a win. Look for the outcome of the Sri Lanka game to be decided entirely by the conbditions.
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